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1.7.7 The Rivalry - Coca Cola's downfall

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1. Introduction

During the late 1970s and early 1980s, Pepsi launched strategic campaigns that capitalized on cultural shifts and demographic changes in the United States. Against the backdrop of a post-Vietnam, post-Watergate U.S., and a recovering economy, Pepsi’s campaigns emphasized youthful rebellion, differentiating itself from Coca-Cola’s established, traditional image. This document explores Pepsi's notable campaigns, including its association with Michael Jackson and the "Pepsi Challenge," highlighting the impacts on Coca-Cola and the soft drink market.


2. The Pepsi Generation: Leveraging Celebrity Endorsement with Michael Jackson

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Cultural Context and Branding

In the late 1970s, Pepsi chose to align itself with the emerging youth culture by associating with a modern icon, Michael Jackson, often referred to as the "King of Pop." Pepsi’s branding appealed to a younger demographic, contrasting with Coca-Cola's image, which resonated with an older generation.

Michael Jackson as Brand Ambassador

  • Influence and Appeal: Michael Jackson, a revolutionary performer, captured the youthful energy and rebellious spirit Pepsi wanted to project. In today’s terms, Jackson would be considered an “influencer”; at the time, he was a brand ambassador who personified the spirit of the "Pepsi Generation."
  • Cultural Shift: This campaign differentiated Pepsi from its competitors, particularly Coca-Cola, by associating Pepsi with a new, modern, and energetic music style that spoke to a generation looking for change and individuality.

3. The Pepsi Challenge: Product Testing and Market Disruption

Origins and Execution

In the mid-1970s, Pepsi launched the Pepsi Challenge in Texas to address its small market share compared to Coca-Cola. This campaign leveraged in-store promotions at 7-Eleven convenience stores, a major Pepsi distributor, to test consumer preferences in a controlled setting.

Blind Taste Test

The Pepsi Challenge involved offering consumers two unmarked bottles of cola and asking them to choose their preferred taste. In these blind tests, Pepsi consistently scored higher, with 52% of consumers preferring Pepsi over Coca-Cola. This campaign highlighted Pepsi's taste as superior, leading to a substantial increase in market share from 6% to 14%.

Impact on Coca-Cola

  • Consumer Perception: The hidden-camera recordings of consumers preferring Pepsi over Coca-Cola served as compelling advertising content, positioning Pepsi as the superior-tasting cola.
  • Market Response: Coca-Cola challenged Pepsi’s campaign, claiming it was misleading, only to discover through its own tests that Pepsi’s taste appeal in blind tests was accurate. Coca-Cola’s position as a leader in taste superiority was questioned.

4. Market Dynamics and Consumer Demographics

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The Decline in Soft Drink Consumption

During the 1970s and 1980s, industry experts noted a decline in carbonated soft drink sales, partly due to changing demographics: - Aging Coca-Cola Consumers: Coca-Cola’s core consumer base consisted of older individuals, many of whom were now experiencing health issues that restricted their soda consumption. Health concerns such as hypertension, diabetes, and obesity limited their ability to consume sugary carbonated beverages. - Pepsi’s Youth-Oriented Demographic: Pepsi’s younger consumer base could consume more, aligning with the lifestyle of an active, vibrant youth. This demographic advantage allowed Pepsi to maintain and grow its market share as Coca-Cola’s aging customers reduced their intake.

Market Share Shift

  • By 1982, Pepsi’s market share grew, surpassing Coca-Cola in certain areas, including supermarkets, where Coca-Cola had traditionally held a strong position. An AC Nielsen report indicated Pepsi was gaining traction in supermarkets, accounting for about one-third of Coca-Cola’s market volume.
  • Loyalty Decline for Coca-Cola: Coca-Cola’s hardcore customer base dropped from 18% in 1972 to 12% by 1982. Meanwhile, Pepsi’s loyal customer base grew from 4% to 11% during the same period, illustrating Pepsi's appeal among younger consumers who could consume more of the product.

5. Coca-Cola’s Challenge and Strategic Options

As Pepsi’s market share increased, Coca-Cola faced a unique conundrum: - Legacy and Tradition: Coca-Cola’s brand relied heavily on tradition and the “sacred” nature of its original formula, created by John Pemberton. Coca-Cola had never extensively tested its formula against competitors, assuming it held a universal appeal. - Competitive Blind Spot: The Pepsi Challenge exposed Coca-Cola’s overconfidence in its legacy formula. Pepsi’s success with the blind taste test highlighted the need for Coca-Cola to reconsider its formula and its marketing strategies to compete effectively with Pepsi.

Strategic Dilemma

With an aging consumer base, an industry slowdown, and Pepsi’s growing appeal among younger audiences, Coca-Cola needed to respond with a strategic shift that could appeal to younger consumers without alienating its loyal base.

Potential Strategic Approaches for Coca-Cola

  1. Product Innovation: Adjusting Coca-Cola’s formula slightly to appeal to a broader audience, including younger consumers.
  2. Marketing Repositioning: Crafting campaigns that emphasize the refreshing and youthful aspects of Coca-Cola to counter Pepsi’s appeal among younger consumers.
  3. Health-Oriented Branding: Exploring low-sugar or healthier versions of Coca-Cola to appeal to health-conscious consumers, thus expanding its consumer base and catering to evolving market preferences.

6. Conclusion: Lessons from the Pepsi Challenge

Pepsi’s strategic moves in the 1970s and 1980s, including celebrity endorsements, taste tests, and a strong youth-focused branding approach, provided significant competitive advantages. By questioning Coca-Cola’s assumed market superiority, Pepsi carved out a space in the cola market and attracted a younger, loyal consumer base. Coca-Cola’s response required a careful balance between innovation and tradition, reflecting the challenge of adapting to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences without losing brand identity.

The Pepsi Challenge serves as a pivotal case in marketing strategy, highlighting the power of understanding consumer preferences, leveraging generational shifts, and using experiential marketing to build brand loyalty.


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